Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.714217 4.432200 5.232578 6.188150 7.295006 8.533714 10.021767
2025-09-07 2.627469 3.529874 4.641357 6.099580 7.949427 10.203830 13.143410
2025-09-14 1.891742 2.814098 4.050406 5.804311 8.199485 11.322914 15.664411
2025-09-21 1.486423 2.414289 3.750878 5.775156 8.712042 12.756990 18.672563
2025-09-28 1.197493 2.106242 3.502576 5.742839 9.168449 14.112471 21.660545
2025-10-05 1.066730 2.008424 3.536611 6.109265 10.217135 16.375927 26.110049
2025-10-12 0.927771 1.865284 3.468172 6.291905 10.986406 18.276518 30.169897
2025-10-19 0.828417 1.769573 3.457383 6.555384 11.895366 20.450436 34.802429
2025-10-26 0.709145 1.611655 3.310454 6.559769 12.365183 21.955772 38.489743
2025-11-02 0.582291 1.411753 3.053195 6.327880 12.395019 22.731439 41.041996
2025-11-09 0.480053 1.240568 2.821054 6.105219 12.405213 23.456743 43.542016
2025-11-16 0.415840 1.138943 2.709570 6.094239 12.790028 24.841453 47.239248
2025-11-23 0.361439 1.050245 2.614552 6.110408 13.240205 26.400888 51.400664
2025-11-30 0.308572 0.953280 2.485990 6.040228 13.515298 27.666417 55.138599
2025-12-07 0.250298 0.827471 2.270159 5.752457 13.322067 28.043600 57.289746
2025-12-14 0.216578 0.760019 2.179092 5.724995 13.653787 29.431106 61.391395
2025-12-21 0.187617 0.698683 2.092013 5.693358 13.969819 30.806389 65.555389
2025-12-28 0.180218 0.701544 2.168944 6.057134 15.173218 34.017086 73.437280
2026-01-04 0.165530 0.677421 2.170726 6.238438 15.988590 36.501412 80.052547
2026-01-11 0.155234 0.665406 2.203429 6.499952 17.007135 39.467053 87.790827
2026-01-18 0.137146 0.621240 2.138485 6.504308 17.433624 41.231219 93.226955
2026-01-25 0.114490 0.553232 1.991711 6.274160 17.284777 41.767015 96.196678
2026-02-01 0.095559 0.492948 1.855983 6.053176 17.132006 42.276360 99.133068